A recent study published in Nature Human Behaviour has found that chatbots, specifically large language models (LLMs), are more persuasive in online debates than humans, especially when they can personalize their arguments using information about their opponent. The study involved 900 participants in the United States who debated with either a human or OpenAI’s GPT-4 LLM on various sociopolitical issues. The results showed that GPT-4 out-argued humans 64% of the time when provided with basic demographic information about their opponent.
Forecast for 6 months: Expect a surge in the development and deployment of AI-powered chatbots in various industries, including politics, advertising, and education, as companies and organizations seek to leverage their persuasive capabilities.
Forecast for 1 year: As the use of AI chatbots becomes more widespread, there will be a growing concern about their potential impact on human decision-making and the spread of misinformation. Governments and regulatory bodies may start to take steps to address these issues.
Forecast for 5 years: The use of AI chatbots will become increasingly sophisticated, with the development of more advanced LLMs that can adapt to different contexts and audiences. This may lead to a shift in the way we communicate and interact with each other online.
Forecast for 10 years: The line between human and AI-generated content will become increasingly blurred, raising questions about the authenticity and credibility of online information. This may lead to a reevaluation of the role of AI in society and the need for new regulations and standards.
