The World Health Organization declared COVID-19 a pandemic five years ago, but the virus continues to evolve and infect people worldwide. Despite dropping death and hospitalization rates, the pandemic has provided insights into health inequities, flaws in healthcare systems, and the power of collaboration. Scientists have learned much about the virus, but managing COVID-19 as an endemic disease poses new challenges.
Forecast for 6 months: COVID-19 cases are expected to remain low in the United States, with occasional surges due to new variants. Wastewater surveillance will continue to play a crucial role in monitoring the virus.
Forecast for 1 year: As the US government reduces reporting of infections and access to free vaccines, tests, and treatments, there may be a slight increase in COVID-19 cases. However, the overall trend is expected to remain downward.
Forecast for 5 years: By 2029, COVID-19 is expected to be fully integrated into the US healthcare system as an endemic disease. This will require continued investment in surveillance, vaccination, and treatment programs.
Forecast for 10 years: In 2033, COVID-19 is expected to be a manageable, seasonal disease, with outbreaks occurring during peak flu seasons. The US healthcare system will have adapted to this new reality, with a focus on prevention, early detection, and treatment.
