Bluesky, a decentralized social network, recently experienced a significant outage due to major personal data server (PDS) networking problems. The incident has raised questions about the reliability of decentralized systems and their potential vulnerabilities. Despite the platform’s decentralized nature, the majority of users interact with the service via the official app, which can be a single point of failure.
Forecast for 6 months: Bluesky and other decentralized social networks will continue to face challenges in maintaining their infrastructure and ensuring user reliability. Expect to see more outages and technical issues as these platforms grow in popularity.
Forecast for 1 year: As decentralized social networks mature, we will see the development of more robust infrastructure and redundancy systems to mitigate the risk of outages. This may include the creation of community-run PDSs and other decentralized infrastructure.
Forecast for 5 years: Decentralized social networks will become increasingly popular, and we will see the emergence of new players in the market. However, the industry will also face challenges related to scalability, security, and user adoption. Expect to see significant advancements in decentralized infrastructure and protocols.
Forecast for 10 years: By 2035, decentralized social networks will have become a mainstream phenomenon, with many users adopting these platforms as their primary means of online communication. The industry will have overcome many of the challenges it faces today, and we will see the development of new decentralized technologies and applications.
