OpenAI has released GPT-4.5, its largest AI model to date, which boasts a deeper world knowledge and higher emotional intelligence. However, the model’s performance is mixed, and it falls short of newer AI reasoning models from Chinese AI company DeepSeek and Anthropic. The industry is holding its breath to see if GPT-4.5 will be a bellwether for the viability of traditional AI training approaches.
Forecast for 6 months: GPT-4.5 will continue to be a research preview, and its capabilities will be explored by developers and researchers. However, its high cost and mixed performance may limit its adoption in the short term.
Forecast for 1 year: GPT-4.5 will become more widely available to the public, but its limitations will become more apparent. OpenAI may need to revisit its traditional AI training approaches and consider new methods to improve performance.
Forecast for 5 years: GPT-4.5 will be seen as a transitional model, marking the beginning of a new era in AI development. Newer models will emerge that surpass its capabilities, and the industry will shift towards more advanced AI training methods.
Forecast for 10 years: GPT-4.5 will be remembered as a pioneering model that paved the way for significant advancements in AI. The industry will have moved towards more sophisticated AI models that can perform complex tasks and make decisions with minimal human intervention.
