The US Department of Defense has cut funding for 91 social science research grants, including those focused on emerging threats to national security. The Minerva Research Initiative, which supported basic social science research, has been terminated, leaving researchers without funding and potentially hindering the understanding of global dynamics such as violence, instability, and human displacement. The move has raised concerns about the impact on national security and the ability to address emerging threats.
Forecast for 6 months: In the next 6 months, we expect to see a significant impact on the research community, with many researchers struggling to find alternative funding sources. This may lead to a delay in the publication of research findings and a potential loss of talent in the field.
Forecast for 1 year: In the next year, we anticipate that the Department of Defense will face criticism for its decision to cut funding for social science research. This may lead to increased scrutiny of the department’s priorities and potentially a shift in focus towards more evidence-based decision-making.
Forecast for 5 years: In the next 5 years, we expect to see a significant shift in the way the Department of Defense approaches research and development. With the rise of artificial intelligence and other emerging technologies, the department may prioritize research in these areas, potentially leading to new opportunities for social scientists to contribute to national security.
Forecast for 10 years: In the next 10 years, we anticipate that the impact of the Department of Defense’s decision to cut funding for social science research will be felt across the research community. We may see a decline in the number of researchers working in the field and a potential loss of expertise, which could have long-term consequences for national security.
